New Research Finds Investors Regaining Risk Appetite

Image

Investors have regained some appetite for risk with a strong consensus over a U.S. rate rise next month, according to the BofA Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey for November.

With growth and inflation expectations notably higher after new U.S. payroll data, investors have cut cash holdings and increased exposure to equities, real estate and alternative investments.

The percentage of asset allocators overweight equities rose significantly by 17 points to a net 43%, while lowering cash overweights to their lowest level since July. Four-fifths of panelists now expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise rates during the current quarter.

Confidence in the global economy rebounds, with net expectations of it strengthening in the next 12 months up 22 percentage points from October. 

Concerns over a slowdown in China abate, as local fund managers turn neutral on the country’s growth outlook – their most positive reading in more than a year. 

Eurozone and Japan strengthen as the most favored equity markets globally, reflecting deeper consensus on the U.S. dollar. A net 67% now expect the currency to appreciate in the next year. 

Real estate and alternative investment overweights rise to their second-highest readings in the survey’s history. In contrast, aggressive underweights on commodities and Global Emerging Markets are maintained.

“With consensus very clustered in QE and strong dollar trades, asset price upside appears limited until an ‘event’ curtails the Fed hiking cycle, as in 1994,” said Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research.

“While European equities are loved by global investors and the ECB has created some excitement about growth, sector positioning shows local asset managers are lacking conviction and hugging their benchmarks,” said Manish Kabra, head of European quantitative strategy.

Share this page:

In this section

Global AUM to Exceed $100tn

Research from PwC predicts that global assets under management (AuM) will rise to around $101.7 trillion by 2020, from a 2012 total of $63.9 trillion.

READ MORE →

UK Must Adapt to Tap into Overseas Procurement Market

Public procurement of goods and services in 12 key emerging markets will almost triple to £452 billion by 2030 - but the UK will only capture £11 billion of this growth, if its market share stays the same.

READ MORE →

UK Energy Big 6 "to Lose Dominance in 2019"

The UK's “Big 6” energy companies are losing customers to smaller rivals so quickly that they will control under half the residential market in 2019, according to an energy price comparison site

READ MORE →

Tullow Sells UK Gas Assets

Tullow Oil plc has announced that its subsidiary Tullow Oil SK Limited has entered into an agreement to sell 53.1% of its Schooner unit interest (currently 93.1%) and 60% of its Ketch asset (currently owned 100%) in the UK Southern North Sea to Faroe Petroleum (UK) Limited.

READ MORE →

UK and Japanese Firms Sign Nuclear Clean-up Deal

An agreement signed between Sellafield Ltd and TEPCO FDEC will build a working relationship between the two firms facing the world's biggest nuclear clean-up jobs.

READ MORE →

Optimism in Oil and Gas Capital Increasing

According to EY's 10th bi-annual Oil and Gas Capital confidence barometer, just over half (54%) of the oil and gas respondents view the global economy as improving, down sharply from 71% in October 2013.

READ MORE →

News Stand

View more → Sign up to receive new issues →